Saint Martin v El Salvador prediction

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Saint Martin and 1.2 from El Salvador, so Saint Martin come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Saint Martin come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Saint Martin to win. Saint Martin are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.5-1.2), and we make them about 56% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 13.50, which works out at about 7 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.