What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Scotland and 0.8 from Slovenia, so Scotland come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Scotland or Draw. This covers Scotland or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 83 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.24, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Scotland have won one of their last three.
✓Slovenia have won one of their last three.
Recent meetings
26 Sept 2026Slovenia 0 - 0 Scotland
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