Scotland v Switzerland: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Switzerland or Draw 69%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.3 goals from Scotland and 1.6 from Switzerland, so Switzerland come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Switzerland or Draw. This covers Switzerland or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.23, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.