Singapore v Paraguay prediction

What to expect

Singapore host Paraguay in a friendly on 13 November. Both teams are using the match to test players rather than chase points. In the current table Paraguay sit clearly above Singapore, and the numbers show Paraguay as the stronger side. The game matters little for qualification, but a win will give Paraguay a morale boost while Singapore hopes to avoid another heavy loss at home.

Singapore have played three games recently. They lost 6-0 to Malaysia away, then beat Bangladesh 1-0 at home, and most recently fell 2-0 to Indonesia away. In those three matches they have scored just one goal and let in eight. They kept one clean sheet and failed to find the net in two games. Only one of those fixtures had three or more goals.

Paraguay’s recent form is not listed, but the goal expectations give a clear picture. They are projected to score about two goals per game while Singapore are expected to score less than one. Paraguay have an 88 % chance to score at least once and a 63 % chance to score twice. Singapore’s chances are much lower – 40 % to score at all and only 9 % to hit a double.

We pick Paraguay to win. The price of 1.12 is shorter than what we think the game is worth, so it looks attractive. Our reasoning is simple: Paraguay are expected to score more, Singapore have struggled to find the net and have been hit hard in recent games. The pick would fail only if Singapore manage to score early and hold on, or if Paraguay’s attack is completely shut out, both of which seem unlikely.