How it turned out
We projected about 2.1 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Al-Karma or Draw 83%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.8 goals from Al Minaa and 1.3 from Al-Karma, so Al-Karma come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Al-Karma or Draw. This covers Al-Karma or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 83 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.17, which works out at about 85 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
The last four meetings are split 2-2, with no drawn.
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