How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Erbil to win 54%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Erbil and 0.9 from Al Minaa, so Erbil come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Erbil to win. Erbil are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.5-0.9), and we make them about 55% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 54 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.75, which works out at about 57 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
