How it turned out
We projected about 3.7 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Maccabi Tel Aviv to win 63%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Maccabi Netanya and 2.5 from Maccabi Tel Aviv, so Maccabi Tel Aviv come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.7 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Maccabi Tel Aviv come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Maccabi Tel Aviv to win. Maccabi Tel Aviv shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-2.4), and we make them about 65% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.56, which works out at about 64 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Maccabi Tel Aviv have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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