Maccabi Petah Tikva FC v Hapoel Jerusalem FC prediction

What to expect

We expect about 1.1 goals from Maccabi Petah Tikva FC and 1.2 from Hapoel Jerusalem FC, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Hapoel Jerusalem FC to win. Hapoel Jerusalem FC shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.2), and we make them about 38% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 36 out of 100. The price on offer is 3.00, which works out at about 33 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.