What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Ulsan HD FC and 1.5 from FC Seoul, so FC Seoul come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
FC Seoul come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: FC Seoul to win. FC Seoul shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.3-1.5), and we make them about 41% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 39 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.25, which works out at about 44 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Ulsan HD FC have won one of their last three.
✓FC Seoul are unbeaten in their last three — three wins and no draws.
