La LigaSat 10 Oct · 16:30 UTC

Barcelona v Getafe prediction

GetafeWLDDL

What to expect

We expect about 2.3 goals from Barcelona and 0.6 from Getafe, so Barcelona come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Barcelona come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Barcelona to win. Barcelona are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.3-0.6), and we make them about 86% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 85 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.08, which works out at about 93 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say

✓Barcelona are unbeaten in their last five — five wins and no draws.

✓Getafe have won one of their last five.

✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.

✓Both teams scored in one of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

25 Apr 2026Getafe 0 - 2 Barcelona

21 Sept 2025Barcelona 3 - 0 Getafe

18 Jan 2025Getafe 1 - 1 Barcelona

25 Sept 2024Barcelona 1 - 0 Getafe

24 Feb 2024Barcelona 4 - 0 Getafe

Barcelona have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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More La Liga fixtures

This is about Espanol's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.7 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 75%.

Top pickEspanol to score 2 or fewer · 1.30Share

12:00

OsasunavVallecano

★★★★★

Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 55%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

Match outlookBoth teams to score · 1.81Share

14:15

Ath BilbaovAlaves

★★★★★

Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.1), and we make both teams to score about 55%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

Match outlookBoth teams to score · 1.93Share

16:30

CeltavSantander

★★★★★

Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 2.2-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

Match outlookBoth teams to score · 1.64Share