What to expect
We expect about 1.0 goals from Malaga and 1.2 from Espanol, so Espanol come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.0-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 53%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 53 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.83, which works out at about 55 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Malaga have not won any of their last five.
✓Espanol have won one of their last five.
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