How it turned out
We projected about 3.4 goals; the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Riga FC to win 80%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
Riga FC host BFC Daugavpils at the Riga stadium in the Latvia Virsliga on 7 September 2026. Riga sit second in the ten-team table with 65 points from 27 games and a goal difference of +54. They are just four points behind the leaders RFS and nine ahead of Auda in third place. Daugavpils sit fifth with 37 points from 28 games and a slim +1 goal difference, three points behind FK Liepāja and five ahead of SK Super Nova. The match can move Riga closer to the top spot while Daugavpils will try to close the gap to the teams above them. The numbers show Riga averaging about 2.7 goals per game and Daugavpils about 0.7, so the home side looks clearly stronger.
Riga’s form has been mixed in their last three outings. They began with a 2-1 home win over Klaksvik, then suffered back-to-back 3-2 defeats away to FK Liepāja. In those three games they have scored six goals and let in seven. All three matches featured three or more goals and both sides found the net each time. The most recent loss came just seven days ago, so Riga arrive on the back of two straight defeats.
Our pick is a Riga win. The price of 1.28 matches our view of the game and looks good. Riga are the stronger side on the goal expectations and we see them winning about 80 % of the time. For the pick to go wrong Daugavpils would need to keep a clean sheet and score at least once, which looks unlikely given the recent numbers. We think backing Riga to come out on top is the cleaner play.
Recent results
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
