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Football/League of Ireland/Shamrock Rovers v Drogheda
League of Ireland · Tallaght Stadium

Shamrock Rovers v Drogheda prediction

Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock RoversDDDLW
v
Drogheda crestDroghedaLLWWL

What to expect

We expect about 1.7 goals from Shamrock Rovers and 0.8 from Drogheda, so Shamrock Rovers come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Shamrock Rovers to win. Shamrock Rovers are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.7-0.9), and we make them about 60% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.40, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Shamrock Rovers have won one of their last five.
Drogheda have won two of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

31 Jul 2026Drogheda 0 - 0 Shamrock Rovers
4 May 2026Shamrock Rovers 4 - 1 Drogheda
16 Mar 2026Drogheda 0 - 0 Shamrock Rovers
31 Aug 2025Shamrock Rovers 2 - 1 Drogheda
16 Jun 2025Drogheda 1 - 2 Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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