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Football/EFL League One/AFC Wimbledon v Reading
EFL League One · The Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC Wimbledon v Reading: how it went

AFC Wimbledon crestAFC WimbledonLLWLL
0 - 0
Reading crestReadingLLDLL
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Over 1.5 goals 74%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.2 goals from AFC Wimbledon and 1.6 from Reading, so Reading come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

AFC Wimbledon come into this on two straight defeats. Reading come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.8 goals between the two (xG 1.2-1.6), landing about 76% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.

We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓AFC Wimbledon have won one of their last five.
✓Reading have not won any of their last five.

Recent meetings

7 Feb 2026AFC Wimbledon 3 - 2 Reading
16 Aug 2025Reading 1 - 2 AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon have won two of the last two meetings.

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