What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Bromley and 0.9 from Cambridge, so Bromley come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Cambridge come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Bromley to win. Bromley are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.6-0.9), and we make them about 57% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.65, which works out at about 38 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn Cambridge a draw or better. We only make this about 57%, so it's far from a lock.
