How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Under 2.5 goals 55%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Shrewsbury and 1.4 from Salford, so Salford come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Shrewsbury come into this on three straight defeats. Salford come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.3 goals in total (xG 0.9-1.4), keeping it under more often than not (about 57%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.78, which works out at about 56 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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