What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Tranmere and 1.2 from Rotherham, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Tranmere come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.5 goals in total (xG 1.3-1.2), keeping it under more often than not (about 53%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 53 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.77, which works out at about 56 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
One thing to watch
A goal against the run of play opens the game up, and a tight total can slip away fast. The price is shorter than our own read of about 53%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
