Tranmere v Rotherham: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 53%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

The game looks very even. Tranmere are expected to score about 1.2 goals and Rotherham about 1.4. There is almost nothing between those numbers, so neither side looks clearly stronger. With both clubs averaging more than a goal each, the match should have chances at both ends rather than a tight, low-scoring affair.

We think both teams will find the net. The price of 1.78 sits close to our own reading of the game, and we see a 53 % chance of this happening. Both sides have enough threat to score, given the expected goal figures. A goal from either team looks likely, so a both-teams-to-score result feels like the most sensible pick.

For this to fail, one side would need to keep a clean sheet. If the game turns into a defensive slog or a single goal decides it, our view would be wrong. We are reasonably confident in the pick, but we know football can be unpredictable, so we keep a moderate level of belief in the outcome.