How it turned out
We projected about 3.2 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Toronto FC to score 70%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.0 goals from St. Louis City and 1.3 from Toronto FC, so St. Louis City come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
St. Louis City come into this on two straight wins. Toronto FC come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Toronto FC to score. This is about Toronto FC's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.3 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 70%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
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