What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Sporting Kansas City and 2.2 from Philadelphia Union, so Philadelphia Union come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Philadelphia Union come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Sporting Kansas City to score. This is about Sporting Kansas City's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.3 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 70%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
