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Football/MLS/Seattle Sounders v Sporting Kansas City
MLS · Lumen Field

Seattle Sounders v Sporting Kansas City prediction

Seattle Sounders crestSeattle SoundersLDDDD
v
Sporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas CityLLLWL

What to expect

We expect about 2.1 goals from Seattle Sounders and 1.0 from Sporting Kansas City, so Seattle Sounders come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Seattle Sounders come into this on four straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 3.1 goals between the two (xG 2.1-1.0), landing about 66% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.

We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.36, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Seattle Sounders have not won any of their last five.
Sporting Kansas City have won one of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

2 May 2026Sporting Kansas City 1 - 1 Seattle Sounders
25 Aug 2025Seattle Sounders 5 - 2 Sporting Kansas City
13 Jul 2025Sporting Kansas City 2 - 3 Seattle Sounders
16 Sept 2024Seattle Sounders 2 - 0 Sporting Kansas City
9 Jun 2024Sporting Kansas City 2 - 1 Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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