How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 65%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Aldershot host Tamworth at their ground in the National League on 26 September 2026. Aldershot sit eighth in the 24-team table with 15 points from nine games and a +3 goal difference. They are level on points with Yeovil Town above them and Hornchurch below them, so a win could lift them a place. Tamworth are down at 21st with eight points and a –7 goal difference, sitting in the relegation zone. One spot above them is Wealdstone, while Scunthorpe United sit just below. Both sides have a lot to play for – Aldershot want to climb into the top half and Tamworth need points to escape the drop places.
Aldershot’s recent form has been mixed over their last eight matches. They lost 1-0 to Barrow away, then drew 1-1 with Yeovil at home. After that they beat Solihull 2-1 away and Halifax 1-0 at home. They followed with a 1-1 draw at Eastleigh and a 3-1 win over Harrogate at home. In those eight games they have scored nine goals and let in seven. They have kept one clean sheet and have failed to score in two matches. Two of the games produced three or more goals and five saw both sides on the scoresheet.
Tamworth have struggled more in their last eight outings. Their newest result was a 2-1 home win over Wealdstone, but before that they fell 3-1 away to Southend and 3-1 away to Harrogate. They drew 2-2 with Boston United at home, then lost 3-2 away to Yeovil, and earlier beat Worthing 3-2 at home. In those eight games Tamworth have scored 13 and conceded 20. Every match has seen three or more goals and both teams have scored in each one. Their last four road games have all been defeats, the most recent being a 3-1 loss at Southend seven days ago.
When the two clubs have met before, the games have been open and high-scoring. In four meetings Aldershot have not won, Tamworth have won twice and the other two have been draws. The average total of those matches is 3.5 goals. The most recent encounter on 14 February 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw. Given the history of both sides finding the net and the goal-rich nature of their meetings, we can expect another game with chances at both ends.
Our pick is for both teams to score. Aldershot are expected to score about 1.8 goals and Tamworth about 1.5, so both have a good chance of getting on the board. The chance of both sides scoring is around 65 % and the price of 1.46 is shorter than our reading, making it attractive. For the pick to fail, both teams would need to keep a clean sheet, which is unlikely given the recent patterns and the average of 3.5 goals in their head-to-head games. We feel comfortable backing both sides to find the net.
Recent results
Tamworth have won two of the last four meetings, with two drawn.
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