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Football/National League/Harrogate v Eastleigh
National League

Harrogate v Eastleigh prediction

Harrogate crestHarrogateWWLLL
v
Eastleigh crestEastleighDLDLW

What to expect

We expect about 2.4 goals from Harrogate and 1.2 from Eastleigh, so Harrogate come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.6 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Harrogate come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Harrogate to win. Harrogate are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.4-1.2), and we make them about 60% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.62, which works out at about 62 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Harrogate have won two of their last five.
Eastleigh have won one of their last five.

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