What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Altrincham and 1.3 from Hornchurch, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Altrincham come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Hornchurch to score. This is about Hornchurch's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.3 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 73%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.36, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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