Boston Utd v Fylde: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.2 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Both teams to score 63%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

Boston United host Fylde at the National League ground on 26 September 2026. Boston sit 15th out of 24 with 11 points from nine matches and a neutral goal difference. They are just two points behind Forest Green Rovers in 14th place and one point ahead of Carlisle United in 16th. Fylde travel in 10th place, comfortably in the top half of the table. Both clubs are looking to improve their positions – Boston hoping to climb out of the lower-mid table and Fylde aiming to keep pressure on the teams above them. The two sides have split their recent head-to-heads, each winning once, and their last meeting produced three goals, so we can expect an open contest.

Boston United’s last eight games have been a mixed bag of three wins, two draws and three defeats. The most recent result was a 3-1 away victory over Forest Green Rovers, followed by a 1-1 draw with Woking at home. Before that they fell 3-1 at home to Wealdstone, then drew 2-2 away at Tamworth. A 3-2 loss to Hornchurch at home and a 2-1 defeat away at Boreham Wood complete the run. In those eight outings Boston have scored 13 times and let in 12, keeping two clean sheets. Five of the games featured three or more goals and both sides found the net in six of them, showing that Boston can both score and be vulnerable at home.

Fylde come into the game on a stronger recent run, with five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last eight matches. Their latest result was a 2-1 home loss to Altrincham, but that was sandwiched between a 2-1 away win at Harrogate and a 4-1 away triumph over Yeovil. They also drew 2-2 with Worthing at home, beat Solihull 3-1 away and secured a 2-0 home win over Forest Green. On the road Fylde have been impressive, winning four of their last five away games. Across the eight matches they have scored 18 goals and conceded 11, with only one clean sheet. Seven of those games produced three or more goals and both teams scored in seven, underlining Fylde’s habit of open, high-scoring affairs.

When the two clubs have met recently the games have been evenly balanced. Each side has a win from the last two meetings and the average scoreline has been three goals per game. The most recent encounter, on 18 February 2025, saw Boston United edge Fylde 2-1. Given the similar goal averages of 1.6 for each side this time around, we expect a similar pattern – both teams likely to get on the scoresheet and a total around three goals.

Our pick is both teams to score. The chance of both sides finding the net sits at 63 % and the price offered is 1.43, which is shorter than our own reading of the game. The price therefore looks attractive. For the bet to fail, both teams would need to keep a clean sheet, which seems unlikely given the recent frequency of open matches and the fact that each side has scored in the majority of their recent games. We expect goals at either end and a result that reflects the balanced threat each club brings.