Kidderminster v Yeovil: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Yeovil to score 1 or fewer 74%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.6 goals from Kidderminster and 0.9 from Yeovil, so Kidderminster come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Yeovil to score 1 or fewer. This is about Yeovil's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 74%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.