What to expect
We expect about 2.0 goals from Southend and 1.0 from Barrow, so Southend come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Southend come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Barrow to score 1 or fewer. This is about Barrow's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 73%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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