What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Ballymena United and 1.4 from Carrick Rangers, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Carrick Rangers come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Carrick Rangers to win. Carrick Rangers shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.5-1.4), and we make them about 39% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 37 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.30, which works out at about 43 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
