How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 7. Both teams scored. We made Larne (Draw No Bet) 77%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.8 goals from Carrick Rangers and 1.8 from Larne, so Larne come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Larne come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Larne (Draw No Bet). Larne are favoured here (xG 0.8-1.8), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Larne defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Larne have won three of the last five meetings.
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