What to expect
We expect about 0.8 goals from Carrick Rangers and 1.8 from Larne, so Larne come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Larne come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Larne (Draw No Bet). Larne are favoured here (xG 0.8-1.8), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Larne defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.46, which works out at about 68 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
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