How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Linfield to win 69%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.7 goals from Portadown and 1.8 from Linfield, so Linfield come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Portadown come into this on five straight defeats. Linfield come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Linfield to win. Linfield shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.7-1.8), and we make them about 71% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Linfield have won four of the last five meetings.
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