What to expect
We expect about 2.0 goals from Los Chankas and 1.0 from ADC Juan Pablo II, so Los Chankas come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Los Chankas (Draw No Bet). Los Chankas are favoured here (xG 2.0-1.0), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Los Chankas defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright ADC Juan Pablo II win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. We make it about 77% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.