How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 62%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Bournemouth and 1.3 from Brentford, so Bournemouth come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Bournemouth come into this on two straight draws. Brentford come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.6-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 62%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.52, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Brentford have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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