How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Hull to score 77%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from Chelsea and 1.3 from Hull, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Hull to score. This is about Hull's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.3 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 77%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.78, which works out at about 56 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
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