How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Crystal Palace to win 54%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
Crystal Palace host Ipswich at Selhurst Park on 12 September 2026. Palace sit 16th in the league, three points from four games and a goal difference of minus five. One place above them sits Bournemouth, while Tottenham sit just below. Ipswich are much higher, sitting eighth, six points from four games and a goal difference of minus three. Everton sit one spot above them and Newcastle one spot below. Both teams are close to the middle of the table, but Palace are fighting to climb out of the relegation zone while Ipswich are looking to push for a top-half finish. The match could move Palace a place up or down and could see Ipswich slip a spot if they lose.
Palace have just come off two straight wins. Their most recent fixtures were a 3-0 victory over Middlesbrough at home and a 3-2 win away at Fulham. Before that they lost 4-1 to Manchester City at home and 2-0 away to Everton. In the last eight games they have three wins, one draw and four defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 15. They have kept two clean sheets and have been shut out twice. Four of those eight games were at home, where they have won two and lost two. Six of the eight matches featured three or more goals and both sides scored in four of them. The side played just four days ago, so they are on a short turnaround.
Ipswich arrive after two defeats in a row. Their latest results were a 2-0 loss at home to Liverpool and a 5-2 defeat away to Manchester United. Prior to that they beat Sunderland 2-1 at home, then beat QPR 3-0, drew 2-2 with Southampton away and held West Brom to a 0-0 draw away. In their last eight games they have three wins, three draws and two losses, scoring 13 and conceding 13. They have kept two clean sheets and have also failed to score in two matches. On the road in the last four games they have one win, two draws and one loss. Their most recent game was eight days ago.
The two clubs have met twice before. Palace won both meetings, the most recent being a 1-0 home win on 8 March 2025. Those games averaged only one goal each, showing they can be tight affairs. Given the recent form – Palace on a winning streak and Ipswich on a losing run – we expect a game with chances at both ends but a slight edge to the home side.
We pick Crystal Palace to win. The numbers give Palace about two goals on average to Ipswich’s 1.3, and the chance of Palace scoring at all is high. The price of 1.94 matches our view of the game. For our pick to fail, Palace would need to be shut out and Ipswich would have to score at least once, which looks less likely given Palace’s recent attacking form and Ipswich’s two straight defeats. We think the price is fair and the odds of a Palace win sit around 54 %.
Recent results
Crystal Palace have won two of the last two meetings.
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