What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Tottenham and 1.5 from Aston Villa, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 55%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.74, which works out at about 57 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Tottenham have won two of their last five.
✓Aston Villa have won two of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
3 May 2026Aston Villa 1 - 2 Tottenham
19 Oct 2025Tottenham 1 - 2 Aston Villa
16 May 2025Aston Villa 2 - 0 Tottenham
3 Nov 2024Tottenham 4 - 1 Aston Villa
10 Mar 2024Aston Villa 0 - 4 Tottenham
