How it turned out
The game finished with 2 goals. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
I like this pick because the price looks good for a game that could be tight and low scoring. We think clear chances will be hard to come by, which makes under 2.5 goals a reasonable bet. The odds of 1.90 seem fair for a match that might not see many goals.
One thing to watch
It only takes one early goal to change how both sides play, and a low total can unravel in a single quick spell. We make it about 54% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
