How it turned out
The game finished with 2 goals. We made Under 3.5 goals 73%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. Low-scoring lean. The model projects about 2.7 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.56, which works out at about 64 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
Cagey games can burst open late, and a couple of goals in the closing stages would be enough to catch this out.
