How it turned out
The game finished with 1 goal. We made Both teams to score 58%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
Guimaraes come into this on three straight defeats. Arouca come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Goals at both ends likely (xG 1.7-1.3).
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.84, which works out at about 54 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Guimaraes have won two of their last five.
✓Arouca have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
7 Feb 2026Arouca 3 - 2 Guimaraes
30 Aug 2025Guimaraes 1 - 1 Arouca
18 Jan 2025Guimaraes 2 - 2 Arouca
12 Aug 2024Arouca 0 - 1 Guimaraes
18 May 2024Arouca 1 - 3 Guimaraes
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