What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Gil Vicente and 1.0 from Maritimo, so Gil Vicente come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Gil Vicente come into this on two straight defeats. Maritimo come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.4 goals between the two (xG 1.4-1.0). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 49 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓Gil Vicente have won two of their last five.
✓Maritimo have won two of their last five.
✓Two of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last four meetings.
Recent meetings
5 Mar 2023Gil Vicente 2 - 0 Maritimo
11 Sept 2022Maritimo 1 - 2 Gil Vicente
20 Mar 2022Gil Vicente 1 - 1 Maritimo
31 Oct 2021Maritimo 1 - 2 Gil Vicente
