What to expect
We expect about 0.9 goals from Guimaraes and 1.5 from Porto, so Porto come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Guimaraes come into this on two straight wins. Porto come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Porto to win. Porto shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-1.5), and we make them about 62% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.71, which works out at about 58 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Porto have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
