What to expect
We expect about 1.0 goals from Santa Clara and 0.9 from Gil Vicente, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 1.9 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Gil Vicente come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 1.9 goals between the two (xG 1.0-0.9). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
Recent results
Santa Clara have won four of the last five meetings.
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