What to expect
Our pick: Tigre (Draw No Bet). Tigre are favoured here (xG 0.7-1.0), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Tigre defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.69, which works out at about 59 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Aldosivi have not won any of their last five.
✓Tigre have won two of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in no of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
15 Aug 2026Aldosivi 0 - 0 Tigre
12 Feb 2026Tigre 1 - 0 Aldosivi
21 Sept 2025Tigre 2 - 0 Aldosivi
9 Mar 2025Aldosivi 0 - 2 Tigre
30 Sept 2022Tigre 3 - 0 Aldosivi
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Aldosivi win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. At around 63% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.
