What to expect
Our pick: San Lorenzo (Draw No Bet). San Lorenzo favoured (xG 1.1-0.9); a draw refunds your stake.
We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.65, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓San Lorenzo have won one of their last five.
✓Union de Santa Fe have won one of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
14 Feb 2026Union de Santa Fe 0 - 0 San Lorenzo
15 Jun 2024Union de Santa Fe 2 - 1 San Lorenzo
5 Feb 2024San Lorenzo 0 - 0 Union de Santa Fe
5 Sept 2023Union de Santa Fe 1 - 1 San Lorenzo
25 Feb 2023San Lorenzo 1 - 0 Union de Santa Fe
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Union de Santa Fe win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. We make it about 63%: a lean, not a lock.
