How it turned out
We projected about 2.0 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Boca Juniors (Draw No Bet) 68%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.7 goals from Platense and 1.3 from Boca Juniors, so Boca Juniors come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Boca Juniors (Draw No Bet). Boca Juniors favoured (xG 0.7-1.3); a draw refunds your stake.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
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