What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Banfield and 0.9 from Barracas Central, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Banfield come into this on two straight defeats. Barracas Central come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.0 goals in total (xG 1.1-0.9), keeping it under more often than not (about 63%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
One end-to-end spell, or a defensive mistake, and the goals can pile up before either side settles. The price is shorter than our own read of about 63%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
