What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from Boca Juniors and 0.6 from Central Cordoba, so Boca Juniors come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Central Cordoba come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.3 goals between the two (xG 1.7-0.6). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.43, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
It only takes one lapse at either end — both sides finding the net is never far away. The price is shorter than our own read of about 66%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
