Estudiantes L.P. v Instituto prediction

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Estudiantes L.P. and 0.9 from Instituto, so Estudiantes L.P. come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Estudiantes L.P. come into this on two straight defeats. Instituto come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Estudiantes L.P. to score. This is about Estudiantes L.P.'s goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 77%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.