How it turned out
We projected about 1.8 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Huracan to score 71%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Huracan and 0.7 from Tigre, so Huracan come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 1.8 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Huracan come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Huracan to score. This is about Huracan's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 71%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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