How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Over 1.5 goals 72%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Racing Club host Aldosivi in a Primera División clash on 31 October 2026. Racing sit 13th of 15 with 12 points, a single place and one point ahead of Aldosivi, who are 14th with 11 points. Both teams have a -7 goal difference, so the match could shift the lower end of the table. A win for Racing would give them a two-point cushion over Banfield, while a loss would see Aldosivi slip further toward the relegation zone behind Estudiantes de Río Cuarto.
Racing’s recent form has been poor. In their last eight games they have won two, drawn one and lost five. The most recent results are a 1-0 defeat to River Plate away, a 1-1 draw with Independiente at home, a 2-0 loss to Belgrano at home, a 2-1 win at Estudiantes Rio Cuarto, a 3-2 loss to Boca Juniors at home and a 3-1 victory over Sarmiento Junín at home. In that stretch they have scored ten goals and let in thirteen, failing to find the net in two matches. Five of those eight games featured three or more goals and both sides scored in six of them.
Aldosivi have also struggled, especially away from home. Their last eight outings produced three wins and five defeats. They began with a 1-0 win over Belgrano at home, then fell 2-1 to Estudiantes Rio Cuarto away, lost 3-1 to Sarmiento Junín at home, went down 1-0 to Huracán away, beat Atlético Tucumán 1-0 at home and suffered a 4-3 loss to Independiente Rivadavia away. In those games Aldosivi have scored eleven and conceded thirteen, keeping two clean sheets and failing to score once. Their last four road matches have all ended in defeat.
When the two clubs meet, the games have been lively. In the last five meetings Racing have won four, drawn one and Aldosivi have not won. The fixtures have produced an average of three goals each time. The most recent encounter on 19 April 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw, showing that both sides can find the net against each other. Given the recent scoring patterns, we expect another open contest with goals on both ends.
Our pick is over 1.5 goals. The price of 1.33 is shorter than what we feel the game deserves, making it attractive. We see a 72 % chance of the total exceeding one and a half goals, based on Racing’s 84 % chance to score and Aldosivi’s 49 % chance. If the match turns into a defensive slog with few chances, the pick could fail, but the recent history of three-goal games and both teams’ ability to score suggests an open affair is more likely. We think the price is good and the over is the sensible choice.
Recent results
Racing Club have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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