What to expect
Akron Togliatti come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Lokomotiv Moscow to win. Lokomotiv Moscow are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.5-1.1), and we make them about 70% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
Akron Togliatti only need one good spell or a set-piece to nick something, and short-priced favourites slip up plenty. We make it about 70% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
