What to expect
Akron Togliatti come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Lokomotiv Moscow to win. Lokomotiv Moscow are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.5-1.1), and we make them about 70% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Lokomotiv Moscow have won one of their last five.
✓Akron Togliatti have not won any of their last five.
✓Three of the last four meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last four meetings.
Recent meetings
22 Mar 2026Lokomotiv Moscow 5 - 1 Akron Togliatti
26 Oct 2025Akron Togliatti 1 - 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
24 May 2025Akron Togliatti 1 - 4 Lokomotiv Moscow
20 Jul 2024Lokomotiv Moscow 3 - 2 Akron Togliatti
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