How it turned out
The game finished with 0 goals. We made Lokomotiv Moscow to win 69%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
Akron Togliatti come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Lokomotiv Moscow to win. Lokomotiv Moscow are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.5-1.1), and we make them about 70% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Lokomotiv Moscow have won three of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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