How it turned out
The game finished with 2 goals.
What we said beforehand
I like this pick because the price looks good for a game that could be quite tight. We think there will not be many clear chances to score, which makes under 2.5 goals a reasonable bet. The odds seem fair for a match that might not have many goals.
What the numbers say
✓Krylya Sovetov have won two of their last five.
✓Baltika have won one of their last five.
✓Two of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last four meetings.
Recent meetings
7 Dec 2025Baltika 2 - 0 Krylya Sovetov
9 Aug 2025Krylya Sovetov 1 - 1 Baltika
20 Apr 2024Baltika 2 - 1 Krylya Sovetov
27 Aug 2023Krylya Sovetov 2 - 1 Baltika
One thing to watch
One end-to-end spell, or a defensive mistake, and the goals can pile up before either side settles. The price is shorter than our own read of about 60%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
